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Targeting
By
From
Detroit News,
May 25, 2005,
"$5,000
Bounty Is Offered To Smoke Out Tax Scofflaws,"
by Nick Bunkley:
“Thousands
of
The
preceding report from The Detroit News brings to the fore
three immediate and urgent recommendations for persons who
smoke. First, any citizen who still harbors the
delusion that government would not declare select
citizen-consumers to be “Targets” has to be tokin’ some
mighty strange stuff that ain’t made from tobacco;
second, Philip Morris continues to demonstrate its
propensity to use government to craft regulations and laws
that support its market share mercantile interests; and
third, consumers would be well advised to take some
immediate action to address this situation.
The WEYCO
matter was reported January 26, 2005 by CNN in its article “No
Smoking.” CNN reported:
“
The
“
I suspect
that pretty soon some poor sap who happens to be munching on
a cheese burger while filling out a job application in
Detroit, then having the temerity to light up after
finishing his happy meal, will not only be SOL but also a
“concerned taxpayer” bounty hunter’s dream. Such
circumstances could be worth at least $15,000 in bounty
checks from the state for a dweeb with a problem about how
much his fellow citizens cost him.
Unfortunately,
Which is
why I recommend that readers immediately go to two Web sites
linked through Forces.org:
WWW.NYCCLASH.COM Join the boycott of donations to the
American Cancer Society and the American Lung Association,
then tell your friends about it. Few organizations have been
more aggressive about promoting bans and taxes related to
“Target” products. If their programs take money out of your
pocket through unfair taxes then return the favor by
assuring they never, ever see one dime in donations from you
or your friends.
WWW.SMOKERSTAXREVOLT.COM Join the boycott of tobacco
Master Settlement Agreement (MSA) brands such as Philip
Morris’ Marlboro. States take new cigarette taxes out of
your hide, return the favor by eliminating funds for MSA
payments. Fair’s fair.
Fail to
take the above steps and you seal your own fate. Not only is
the War on Whatever Makes Bucks escalating to a frightening
level but we now have a clear picture that politicians who
support such agendas are out of control. Take action as you
can to oppose that.
This
matter is urgent. It is the product of years of
special-interest agendas coming to ultimate fruition. We the
people must respond. I’d like to explain why, based on a few
interesting facts about the false and misleading public
policy data those programs are based on. I will use
“statistics” about obesity to illustrate the point, then
relate that information to tobacco products.
The “Statistics” Con Game
Not that
the War on Obesity and taxes on fat are a new concept.
The Seattle
Times
reported about anti-obesity in its December 5, 1994 article
“Many
Of US Are Fat, So Shape Up, America -- First Lady, Former
Surgeon General Everett Koop Launch Drive To Point Out
Health Risks Of Obesity,” by Steven Pratt of
The Chicago Tribune.
That article said in part:
“As
Americans grow fatter and suffer more ill health as a
result, a former surgeon general and the first lady are
launching a campaign to get people out of the refrigerator
and off their backsides. Shape Up America, a nationwide
program to promote better eating habits, more exercise and a
raised consciousness about obesity, will get its official
start tomorrow in a White House press conference with
Hillary Rodham Clinton and C. Everett Koop. Being overweight
is not only a problem of looks, it's also
a serious
national disease that contributes to
more than 300,000
deaths a year, Koop said Friday.
More than a third
of all adults are obese, he said - 32 million women and 26
million men - up dramatically from 25 percent in 1980.
Similar to Koop's war on smoking, which beefed up warnings
on cigarette packs and helped push smokers out of offices
and airplanes, the Shape Up campaign will focus on the
workplace, schools, doctors' offices and even on cereal
boxes. . . . Obesity is not just a health risk.
The cost to
Americans adds up to more than $100 billion a year, Koop
said, including $45.8 billion in direct
expenses such as hospital and doctors' bills and $33 billion
more in weight-reduction products and services. He puts the
indirect costs at $18.9 billion in lost output caused by
death and disability from weight-related diseases. Hillary
Clinton endorses the Shape Up program because it can reduce
disease and lessen the demand for health care, Koop said.”
(Underline, red added.)
Readers
may want to review a Knight-Ridder News September 16, 1999
article “Fat
Tax Urged In War On Obesity:”
“
A study
published October 27, 1999 in Volume 282 No. 16 of the
Journal of the American
Medical Association (JAMA), “Annual
Deaths Attributable To Obesity In the United States,”
published the following conclusion:
“Conclusions
The estimated number of annual deaths attributable
to obesity among US adults is approximately
280,000 based on HRs from all subjects and
325,000
based on HRs from only nonsmokers and
never-smokers.”
Well, it appears that
smokers provide a valuable medical contribution in the
July 2002
then-U.S. Surgeon General David Satcher issued a “Call to
Action” in the War on Obesity, reported by CNN in its July
16, 2002 article “Satcher: Obesity Almost As Bad As
Smoking.” CNN’s article reported, in part:
"Obesity is reaching 'epidemic proportions' in the
Let’s stop
and take a breather here, to look at a few facts.
The alleged death toll from obesity was 300,000 in 1994,
300,000 in 1999, and 300,000 in 2002. The alleged costs of
obesity-related illness were $100 billion in 1994, $100
billion in 1999, and $117 billion in 2002. As of 2002, based
on authoritative sources such as two U.S. Surgeon Generals
and the Journal of the American Medical Association, over a
seven year period we experienced a constant number of
alleged obesity deaths per year and a modest 17 percent increase in
costs that can be accounted for by simple inflation (17
percent increase over seven years equals a 2.4 percent
average increase per year.) In fact,
the stated increase in
obesity-related costs from 1994 to 2002 of 17 percent was
less than inflation. During that period the
Consumer Price Index, as reported by the
While
deaths from any disease are unfortunate, a medical
condition where mortality
remains constant
– does not increase – over a seven year period and
associated costs increase
less then inflation is hardly a growing
“epidemic” that commands an immediate “Call to Action.”
We should be grateful that both related deaths and
associated costs remained constant, then use that favorable
circumstance to responsibly communicate competent public
health information about diet and exercise. Conclusion:
U.S. Suregeon General Satcher’s “Call to Action” was either
a lie or issued by an incompetent.
Neither alternative is
acceptable to responsible administrators and concerned
citizens.
But there
are pharmaceutical diet pills to foist on the masses and diet
programs of Weight Watchers and Jenny Craig to hustle.
What better way to do so than to convince a large “Target
Group” segment of the population that they are slovenly,
irresponsible, and morally weak fat-asses who will screw
their fellow citizens by bankrupting the U.S. economy unless
they get with the program to suck down the pills, pay
premium prices for allegedly healthy food provided by
corporate special-interests, and high step a few for Hilary
on the tread mill?
The
preceding obesity-related death figures later escalated to
400,000, threatening to overtake the alleged 440,000 annual
deaths from tobacco use. Why we can’t have that. What would
happen to anti-tobacco’s funding if the anti-obesity crowd
could promote a bigger public health threat?
The
apparent source of the widely-touted figure of 400,000
obesity related deaths per year was a study published in
Volume 291, No. 10 of the March 10, 2004
Journal of the American
Medical Association (JAMA), “Actual
Causes of Death In The United States, 2000,” The
study relied on and used Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention “cause attributable fraction” to arrive at
its estimates. That study’s abstract reported, in part:
"Context
Modifiable behavioral risk factors are leading
causes of mortality in the
Design
. . . We used 2000 mortality data reported to the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to identify
the causes and number of deaths. The estimates of
cause of death were computed by multiplying
estimates of the cause-attributable fraction of
preventable deaths with the total mortality data.
Results
The leading causes of death in 2000 were tobacco
(435 000 deaths; 18.1% of total
Conclusions
These analyses show that smoking remains the
leading cause of mortality. However, poor diet and
physical inactivity may soon overtake tobacco as
the leading cause of death. These findings,
along with escalating health care costs and aging
population, argue persuasively that the need to establish
a more preventive orientation in the
The first
reports concerning the error in CDC’s obesity calculations
stated an error of about 20 percent. Forces contributor John Luik discussed that in his column “Eat
Crow,” published by Forces.org. At the time
it appeared that CDC had overstated obesity deaths by about
20 percent or 80,000, which would reduce the widely
proclaimed figure to the low 300,000s.
The
Center for Consumer Freedom
published information about the CDC’s overestimate of obesity
deaths in its November 29, 2004 article, “More
Errors In CDC Obesity Deaths Study” The
center’s article reported in part:
“
A May 2004 article in Science magazine captured initial
criticism of the study and highlighted disputes within the
CDC that the data was weak. One critic said the figures were
‘loosey-goosey.’ Several epidemiologists at CDC and National
Institutes of Health echoed this concern but declined to go
public. ‘I don’t want to lose my job,’ one CDC staffer told
the Science reporter.
This week, the CDC came clean and admitted that their March
study suggesting that obesity caused 400,000 deaths each
year was incorrect and may have overestimated by as much as
20 percent.
But it got
much worse.
CDC later retracted their estimates, reducing the number of
obesity-related deaths to about 26,000 per year.
April 20, 2005 The
Washington Times reported that the actual number
for CDC’s new estimate of obesity-related deaths per year
was 25,814. The following excerpt from The Times’ article, “CDC
Says Obesity Deaths Overestimated,” by Joyce
Howard Price, provides interesting information:
“The federal government greatly overestimated deaths from
obesity in the
It is
interesting to note that an editorial about the CDC’s
obesity estimate published by the
Journal of the American Medical
Association (JAMA) on April 20, 2005, “Deaths
Attributable To Obesity,”
claims a figure of 112,000
obesity deaths
per
year, rather than 25,814 as reported by
The
"In this
issue of JAMA,
2 studies1-2 present new analyses on
the subject of obesity. The study by Flegal et al1
is likely to generate interest because it
provides an estimate for deaths attributable to
obesity that appears to strongly contradict prior
estimates published in
JAMA. Flegal et al1 estimate that
there were about 112 000 obesity-attributable deaths
in the
On the
same day, April 20, 2005 News-Medical.net published “New
Study Challenges CDC’s 400,000 Obesity Deaths Figure,”
which clarifies how the 25,814 figure was derived:
“A new
study by researchers at the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
published in JAMA concludes that obesity kills 112,000
Americans each year -- a dramatic decrease from an
admittedly flawed study published last year by the CDC. . .
. Today's study in JAMA indicates that being overweight, as
opposed to obese, actually saves 86,000 lives. When the
authors add their obesity and overweight deaths, they write:
‘Thus, for overweight
and obesity combined, our estimate was 25,814
excess deaths.’ Perhaps more importantly, the study
employs more recent data that shows a much lower risk of
obesity. This data was collected by the CDC itself, and
could have been used in its 400,000 study.” (Underline,
italic added.)
It turns
out that those who are merely overweight – but not
classified as obese – have a
reduced risk of mortality!
OK folks, light up and enjoy food that may add a few extra
pounds, to save yourself from the risk of death due to
obesity!
Which, of
course, also puts the 1994 to 2002 figure of 300,000 obesity
deaths per year – as well as the claims about $100 billion
to $117 billion of associated costs – in the bathroom device
invented by a fellow named Mr. Crapper. Not only did we have
an obesity epidemic that did not exist due to constant
mortality rates and cost increases less than inflation 1994
to 2002, but today we also find that the hyper-inflated
obesity-related death estimates launched by CDC in 2004 to
support the War on Obesity were a fourteen-times-inflated
falsehood.
John
Luik’s commentary, “They
Don’t Embarrass Easily,” published by Tech-Central
Station April 26, 2005 and linked on the Forces Web site, is
recommended reading. Mr. Luik writes in that commentary:
“A few years ago The New
York Times ran a cartoon that showed two
‘Created a fact!’
Just add
‘CDC Director Dr. Julie Gerberding said because of
the uncertainty
So let's get this straight. When the CDC's numbers said that
obesity was overtaking tobacco as the leading cause of
death, allegedly killing 400,000 Americans a year, it was
all right to use that 400,000 figure non-stop to scare us
into losing weight. But when the real number turns out to be
just short of 26,000 then the CDC is so worried about
"uncertainty" that they aren't going to use the figure.
Obviously, Dr. Gerberding did not get her doctorate in
logic.”
We began
the War on Obesity with Dr. C. Everett Koop and Hillary
Clinton launching Shape Up America because 300,000 obese
folks were allegedly dropping like flies each year (about 822 per day)
and the “National Epidemic” of obesity was costing taxpayers
$100 billion per year. Based on such alarming “statistics”
Kelly Brownell at
The
interesting point about the “statistics” crafted to support
the War on Obesity is that similar data manipulation has
been applied in the War on Tobacco. One of the most
interesting works on that subject is “Lies,
Damned Lies, & 400,000 Smoking-Related Deaths,”
by Robert A. Levy and Rosalind B. Marimont, Mr. Levy is a
senior fellow at the Cato Institute, Ms. Marimont is a
retired mathematician formerly with the National Institute
of Standards and Technology. Levy and Marimont write:
“The
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) prepares
and distributes information on smoking-attributable
mortality, morbidity and economic costs (SAMMEC). In its
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report for 27 August 1993,
the CDC states that 418,690 Americans died in 1990 of
various diseases they contracted because, according to the
government, they smoked. . . . What would happen if SAMMEC
data were to exclude deaths from those diseases that had a
relative risk of less than two for current or former
smokers? Table 1 (at the end of this article) shows that
163,071 deaths reported by CDC were from deaths that should
not have been included in this report. Add to that another
1,362 deaths reported by CDC from burn injuries . . . That
is a total of 164,433 misreported deaths out of 418,690.
When the report is properly limited to diseases that have a
significant relationship to smoking, the death toll declines
to 254,257. Thus, on this count alone, SAMMEC overstates
the number of deaths by 65 percent.” (Underline added.)
In that
article Levy and Marimont also describe how the American
Cancer Society’s (ACS) Cancer Prevention Survey overstates smoking-related deaths by about 65 percent. Other
research based on CDC’s mortality tables shows that 60
percent of alleged “premature” smoking related deaths occur
for those past age 70, and another 17 percent are for those
over age 80.
It goes
without saying that if CDC’s and ACS’s “estimates” of
smoking related deaths are overstated by about 65 then so
are the alleged costs associated with treating
smoking-related illness. But the overstated figures were
used as the basis for a $206 billion tobacco MASTER
Settlement Agreement in 1998, allegedly for states to
recover the costs of treating smoking related illness.
“The
But at
least we now have the true nature of “Anti-Mentality” health
advocates clearly revealed: it’s about the bucks; it
always has been and always will be. If it takes a few
crafted lies to school kids about running out of soft drinks
as an excuse to put water and fruit juice in vending
machines, so be it. If it takes outright BSing the public
about the true mortality risks and costs associated with
obesity for eleven years to “justify” raking in the bucks,
that’s OK, too. And if it takes banning mobile food
distributors within 1,000 feet of schools – thereby
eliminating vendors’ revenue and jobs – to manipulate a
market that sustains a profit-producing school food program
that includes pizza, main stream media columnists will laud
such blatant market manipulation.
What we
citizens and consumers are confronted with through
“Anti-Mentality” programs is nothing more or less than overt
consumer and free market manipulation for special-interest
dollars. We are being taxed and forced to pay added costs
for products at an unprecedented rate based on the lowest
and most deceptive Junk Science. We are being forced to pay
those costs based on blatantly false and manipulated data
concerning mortality rates and cost of treating related
illness. The “statistics” generated by “Anti-Mentality” con
artists are also used to craft negative labels and
unfavorable stereotypes about “Target Group” citizens to
justify special-interest mercantile agendas. And, as now
evident form current reports about Detroit’s tax on fast
food restaurants and school districts, the admission that
it’s truly about the bucks and bucks only is transparent.
So what to
do about that. Well, you could sit on your duff, do nothing
and therefore change nothing. A reasonable alternative is to
return to the top of this commentary, click on the two icons
provided, then boycott tobacco Master Settlement Agreement
brands and boycott donations for the American Cancer Society
and the American Lung Association. Do that and we may have a
chance to end this. Fail to do so and your consumer or
donation dollars will assure this mercantile sickness
continues.
To those
who yawn, reach for a Marlboro, then send a donation to the
cancer society or lung association there is a simple
message: enjoy, dude, you have just sealed your own fate.
Suck it up and blissfully suffer in your status as a willing
victim.
Norman E.
Kjono
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